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Journal of Industrial Economics & Trade

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  • In this paper, we estimate the effect of global supply chain shock on firm’s investment decision using 1,252 firm-level data from 2001 to 2021. After building firm’s investment function with global supply chain pressure index(GSCPI) from Federal Reserve Bank of New York, we estimate it using a dynamic panel GMM method by Arellano and Bond(1991). Our result shows that there exists an invested U Shape of non-linear relationship between GSCPI and firm’s investment decision, which implies that GSCPI gives a negative effect on firm’s decision only after some threshold level.  Also, we find that this relationship is strongly hold for export oriented firms. Our results suggest that government policy support would be needed in time what the degree of global supply chain shock is severely worse, and the establishment of monitoring system for global supply chain by industry should be needed.


  • This study analyzes the business cycles of the manufacturing, chemical, steel, and semiconductor industries in Korea using an endogenous regimeswitching model. We extract the cyclical component from the seasonally adjusted production index and apply the endogenous regime-switching model to the extracted cyclical component. We then compare and analyze the results obtained from the endogenous regime-switching model with those obtained using traditional methods, and draw implications. 

    The empirical analysis reveals that the chemical and semiconductor industries show results similar to those obtained by traditional methods, with the regime determined based on a zero cyclical component. In contrast, the manufacturing and steel industries, which experienced relatively large
    declines in business cycles, the model determines the low regime parsimoniously compared to the traditional method. This indicates that the endogenous regime-switching model can be useful in detecting and analyzing relatively severe crises. The fact that the troughs of the extracted latent factors preceded the troughs of the cyclical components indicates that the endogenous regime-switching model can provide useful information for determining and predicting business cycle regimes.


  • Our study estimates the effect of government support for corporate R&D investment by applying the difference-in-difference method to the corporate panel data linked with NTIS and KISLINE data from 2007 to 2019 by classifying firm’s size. The main empirical results are as follows: First, the effect of government support for the private R&D investment increases it regardless of the company size. Estimation results tell that the effect is greater for small and medium-sized enterprises, but shows mixed up for large enterprises. Second, the mean value of coefficients by support periods, which means the policy effect, shows the shorter the support period, the bigger cumulative effect. On the while, small and medium-sized enterprises, whose support periods are 1~2 years or 3~5 years, increase or decrease their own R&D investment, respectively.
    Third, the estimated values, representing the net effect of corporate R&D investment after 1~4 years have passed since government supports a
    firm’s R&D investment, have decreased every year, implying a lagged effect in which the effect of government support diminishes. Fourth, the
    higher the number of employee, sales, and the longer the business history, the more the R&D investment of companies by the government support. 

    The following policy implications from the above-mentioned empirical findings, i.e., the continuation of on-going corporate R&D investment
    support policies and the establishment of both the R&D policy and the budget allocation system that appropriately utilizes qualifications are derived. These help us to suggest following measures: R&D investment for small and medium-sized enterprises is required to increase continually as usual, and long-term projects like over 4 years for large enterprises, and short-term ones, i.e., 1~2 year projects for small and medium-sized enterprises is needed to implement.

  • This paper investigates the total factor productivity(TFP) gain of whole economy due to the removement of product, capital and labor market distortions in order to emphasize the importance of resource allocation efficiency improvement for the sustaining growth of Korean economy. According to value-added model using annual series of 1998-2021, the TFP gain, though showing downward trend since 1998, amounts to 22.4% in 2021. Also, based on the gross-output model using year 2019 input-output table, the TFP gain showed 23.0%. Meanwhile, the contribution of manufacturing to the TFP gain of whole economy is larger than that of service sectors and, in view of the magnitude of TFP gain, the effect of removing each market distortion seems to be large in the order of capial, labor and product market distortions.

  • Errors may occur when applying the existing market dominance analysis framework based on market share to the online platform. The leading cause is that indirect network externalities exist on online platforms which bear properties of a two-sided market, and they function at the core of the market power. Therefore, some have been raising the opinion that the judgment factors unique to the two-sided market should be comprehensively reflected in addition to market share in regards to the online platform market dominance method of analysis. Based on this perspective, this study analyzes whether the cross-subsidization strategy analysis for identifying the process of securing indirect market externalities can become a complementary measure for market dominance analysis.

    In this study, the top three food delivery apps (Baedal Minjok, Yogiyo, and Coupang Eats) were selected as the subjects of analysis. Using the categorization of cross-subsidization strategy as the analysis framework, the process of securing indirect network externalities of the delivery apps was identified through cross-subsidization strategy analysis at each phase of the product life cycle model.

    The results of the cross-subsidization strategy analysis indicated that after securing direct network externalities with consumers and launching businesses using a loss leader strategy in the introduction stage, delivery apps further secure indirect network externalities using a freemium strategy in the growth stage. During this process, unfair practices, expansion of the platform business field, and the like were performed in order to make the competitive landscape more favorable.

    This study suggests cross-subsidization strategy analysis as a complementary measure of market dominance analysis. If the process of securing indirect network externalities of online platforms can be monitored through crosssubsidization strategy analysis, then identifying how fairly and impartially online platforms secure them becomes feasible. Complementing crosssubsidization strategy analysis that focuses on the competitive process with existing competitive outcome-oriented market dominance analysis contributes to the rational regulation of online platforms.

  • This study empirically analyzed the effect of homogeneous or heterogeneous agglomeration of micro businesses on the residential value. Because houses are fixed in location, environmental factors can affect the price of houses. In this regard, a number of studies have been conducted to identify various environmental factors that affect housing prices. However, it is judged that there is insufficient research on the effect of agglomeration of micro businesses on the residential value, which reduces search costs and travel costs that occur in the consumption process by providing goods and services in close to local residents. Therefore, this study analyzed the relationship between the number and diversity of micro businesses and the monthly rent per square meter using data from the first quarter of 2016 to the second quarter of 2021 in Daejeon. For the analysis method, a panel regression analysis model and a panel VAR model were used.

    As a result, both the number and diversity of micro businesses were confirmed to improve the rent. However, as a result of analyzing the panel VAR model, it was confirmed that the number of micro businesses does not directly affect the rent, but indirectly affects the rent by affecting diversity.

    The results suggest that it is necessary to pay attention to the role of micro businesses in positively affecting the residential value of the region in the current situation where the population decline in non-metropolitan areas is ongoing. However, in this study, various control variables were not considered, and the analysis is limited to Daejeon. It is judged that additional research is needed to verify the generalizability of the results.


  •    This paper reconsiders the question of third-degree input price discrimination assuming a Mussa-Rosen(1978) style vertical differentiation between downstream firms. We show that, in contrast with the traditional analyses of homogeneous goods, input price discrimination can improve the allocation efficiency of differentiated products and with this additional gain total welfare may increase even without an expansion of total quantity. Also, the effect on consumer surplus is quite different from the previous result obtained for price discrimination in a final-good market. These results shed new light on public policy toward input price discrimination.

  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the determinants and improvement measures of R&D efficiency, focusing on the manufacturing industry. In this paper, a Data Envelopment Analysis method was used to measure the R&D efficiency by technology level in the manufacturing industry, and the determinants of R&D efficiency were derived using the Tobit regression analysis. As a result of the analysis, The R&D efficiency of the manufacturing industry was found to need improvement, and the results of the inefficiency cause analysis confirmed that there was a difference in the cause of inefficiency by technology level. The results of this study can be used as basic data for the government’s manufacturing R&D efficiency policy.

  • This paper analyzes the effect of the expansion of private companies’ LNG imports in the petrochemical industry on the city gas demand function. A characteristic feature of previous studies on industrial city gas demand is that the price elasticity of the petrochemical industry city gas demand has risen significantly since the mid-2010s. As the main factors, the expansion of dual boilers in the petrochemical industry and the usage of city gas for hydrogen production were pointed out. As a result of our analysis, we confirm that the relative price elasticity of city gas demand in the petrochemical industry increased significantly from about 1 to about 3 after mid-2010. However, what was newly discovered is that the relative price elasticity decreased sharply to below 0.3 again with the rapid increase in private companies’ LNG imports by the petrochemical industry after 2018. This is analyzed to be because, in the petrochemical industry, city gas consumption, which has a high price elasticity, has been replaced with directly imported LNG. Therefore, it can be said that the overall city gas supply and demand stability can be improved if consumers with high price sensitivity in city gas demand replace their city gas consumption with directly imported LNG.

  • In December 2020, the government announced the “2050 Carbon Neutral Promotion Strategy”. For the paradigm shift to a carbon-neutral society, it is necessary to prepare an evaluation index to see whether our society is effectively reducing greenhouse gases, considering two goals such as carbon reduction and economic growth. This study evaluates the carbon productivity of firms participating in the KETS by estimating total factor carbon productivity based on the stochastic frontier model and the Malmquist productivity index. In this study, carbon productivity is indexed by 26 detailed industries, and productivity levels across industries are compared and analyzed to present efficient carbon productivity improvement schemes for specific industries. From the empirical results, it is confirmed that the carbon productivity in Korea is higher than 1 on average during the observation period, resulting in a conclusion that productivity has been steadily increasing compared to the previous year, but the increase rate has been steadily slowing. It is also revealed that technological change is a main driver to increase the total factor carbon productivity. The industries with high carbon productivity are analyzed in the order of refinery, complex energy, telecommunications, food and beverage and aviation industries among the total 26 industries. On the other hand, cement, waste and mining industries are analyzed as those with low carbon productivity.

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KTV생방송 대한민국, 뉴노멀 시대 서비스산업 정책 과제는?

주체 : 산업연구원

KIET Research faculty

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    • Osaka Prefecture University (Ph.D)
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    • 2021.06 - 현 재 제22대 산업연구원 원장
    • 2017.10 - 2019.05 대통령비서실 중소기업비서관/중소벤처비서관 비서실 중소기업비서실 중소기업비서실 중소기업비서실 중소기업비서실 중소기업비서실 중소기업비서실 중소기업비서실 중소기업
    • 2015.04 - 2017.10 한국중소기업학회 부회장
    • 2015.03 - 2017.02 한국산업조직학회 감사
    • 2009.03 - 2017.10 한국동북아경제학회 이사
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월간 KIET 산업경제 코로나19 발생 이후 제조업 고용 변화: 중간 점검

코로나19 발생 이후 대부분의 고용 관심사가 항공 및 여행서비스, 음식·숙박 서비스 등 주로 서비스 업종에 집중된 상황에서 본 연구는 최근 그 중요성이 강조되고 있는 제조업의 고용변화를 살펴보았다. 분석에 따르면, 코로나19 이후 제조업 고용은 비교적 큰 충격 없이 빠르게 회복하는 모습을 보이고 있다. 제조업 고용은 서비스업에 비해 큰 충격 없이 유지되고 있고, 코로나19 직후 2020년 상반기에 약간 하락하였지만 하반기부터 회복 추세를 보이고 있으며, OECD 주요국의 제조업과 비교하여도 일본과 함께 고용 충격이 비교적 작게 나타나고 있다. 그러나 전반적으로 양호한 고용 성적에도 불구하고 제조업 내 특성 별로는 차이가 나타나는 것으로 보인다. 종사상 지위 별로 보면, 임시·일용직, 고용원이 있는 자영업자에서 고용 충격이 상대적으로 크게 나타났고, 상용직과 고용원이 없는 자영업자는 큰 충격이 없는 것으로 나타났다. 제조업 규모별로는 300인 이상의 경우 코로나 발생 초기 약간의 충격 이후 고용이 빠르게 반등하면서 코로나 이전보다 고용이 더 증가한 반면, 이보다 작은 규모의 제조업체들의 경우 고용 회복이 더디게 나타나고 있다. 고용의 중장기, 단기 추세선을 비교한 결과 제조업 업종에 따른 차이를 보였다. 코로나 발생 이전 3년간의 추세선을 2020년 1월부터 연장한 선과, 2020년 1월부터의 실제 자료를 이용한 단기 추세선을 비교한 결과, 의약품은 코로나19 발생 이전부터 시작하여 코로나19 발생 이후에도 견조한 증가세를 유지하고 있으며, 전자부품·컴퓨터, 기타운송장비, 가구는 코로나19 이후 오히려 고용 추세가 개선되었다. 그러나 다수 업종은 코로나 발생 이후 고용이 하락하였는데, 특히, 비금속광물, 1차금속, 금속가공 분야나 인쇄·기록매체 업종에서 하락이 상대적으로 크게 나타났다.

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